Preliminary hydrological conditions for the spring period of 2026 by regions of Kazakhstan

RSE Kazhydromet classifies a number of regions of Kazakhstan as an average risk zone for the passage of spring floods in 2026. According to preliminary hydrological forecasts, the average level of flood danger is expected in Kostanay, Aktobe, Pavlodar and Almaty regions.
The forecast is based on the analysis of long-term hydrometeorological and hydrological observations, taking into account the autumn moisture content of the soil, the depth of its freezing, the volume of snow accumulation, the distribution of winter precipitation and the expected temperature conditions of the spring period. According to experts, local flooding is possible in these regions, depending on the intensity of snowmelt, temperature fluctuations and additional precipitation.
In Kostanay region, the flood situation will depend on the unstable nature of the spring period with alternating warming and cooling, which can lead to uneven melting of the snow cover. In Pavlodar region, special attention is paid to the Yertis River basin, where, under certain conditions, water levels may rise and ice jams may form.
In the Almaty region, risks are associated with the possible formation of snowmelt floods on mountain rivers with a sharp increase in temperature and precipitation. In the Aktobe region, with intense snowmelt and frozen soil, surface runoff and local flooding may form in low-lying areas.
RSE Kazhydromet notes that after the opening of rivers from the ice cover, regular provision of short-term hydrological forecasts will be organized to promptly inform government agencies and the public.
The forecast is preliminary and will be updated as the weather and hydrological conditions change.