Drought forecast for July 2021

IconPublished 07.07.2021

According to the developed statistical forecast, extremely dry conditions are expected in July in certain points of the Aktobe region (Nura, Irgiz), Kostanay (Karamendy, Amangeldy), Atyrau (Kulsary), and in the Mangystau region (Akkuduk).

Very dry – in Akmola (Yesil, Zhaksy, Atbasar), Aktobe (Novorossiysk, Karabutak, Baskuduk, Nura, Irgiz), Kostanay (Presnogorkovka, Arshalinsky, Tobol, Aralkol, Torgai), North Kazakhstan (Tayynsha) and Mangistau region (Sam).

Moderately arid – in Akmola region (Balkashino), Aktobe (Komsomolskoye, Temir), Kostanay (Mikhailovka, Karasu, Zhitikara, Kushmurun, Dievskaya, Zheleznodorozhny), North Kazakhstan (Yavlenka, Sergeevka and Ruzaevka), East Kazakhstan (Leninogorsk), Zhambyl (Kordai), Almaty (Aul 4), Kyzylorda (Kazaly) and Atyrau region (Atyrau).

Due to the past heavy precipitation in the last decade of June, moderately humid conditions are predicted in West Kazakhstan (Zhalpaktal, Janybek, Urda), East Kazakhstan region (Bakty), and in Mangystau region (Beineu). In the rest of the territory, humidification conditions are expected to be close to normal.

It is worth noting that in July in the north-eastern half of the country, the amount of precipitation is expected to be about normal.

* A statistical forecast of humidification conditions based on the standard precipitation index should be considered as an advisory forecast. The forecast method used is based on the assessment of the influence of the accumulated amount of precipitation that has fallen over a sufficiently long period on the conditions of humidification in the coming months.

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