Seasonal weather forecast for autumn 2022 on the territory of Kazakhstan

IconPublished 16.08.2022

In autumn, both inclement days, with unstable weather with rains, gusty winds, and warm sunny days are expected.
According to the advisory seasonal weather forecast for autumn, in the first two autumn months in most of the republic, the air temperature is forecast to be 1-2 ° above normal. And November is expected to be warm in most of the republic, about the norm only - in West Kazakhstan, Atyrau, in most of North Kazakhstan, in the northwest of Aktobe, Kostanay, in the northern half of Pavlodar region.
Precipitation in the first two months of autumn in September and October in most of Kazakhstan is forecast to be less than normal, that is, it will be mostly dry. In November, precipitation in most regions of the country is expected to be about the climatic norm.
The seasonal weather forecast is issued six times a year: 1 forecast for the warm half-year, 1 forecast for the cold half-year, which are specified by 4 quarterly forecasts for winter, spring, summer and autumn in 17 regions of the Republic of Kazakhstan:
• February 15 for spring (March-May);
• March 15 for the warm period (April-October);
• May 15 for summer (June-August);
• August 15 for autumn (September-November);
• October 15 for the cold period (November-March);
• November 15 for winter (December-February).
The forecast for the season contains:
• a table of the average long-term values of air temperature per month and the amount of precipitation (norm) on the territory of the regions of the Republic of Kazakhstan for a number of observations from 1991 to 2020.
• a brief description of the expected distribution of deviations of air temperature and precipitation from the average long-term values (norm) in the regions of the Republic of Kazakhstan;
• maps of expected deviations of the average monthly air temperature from the norm;
• maps of expected precipitation deviations from the norm.
For reference: the seasonal weather forecast is a description of the averaged meteorological parameters (air temperature and precipitation) expressed as deviations (anomalies) from climatic values (long-term norm) for the considered season.
The seasonal forecast should be used as an advisory.

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