Published 09.03.2024 The area of the territory of Kazakhstan covered with snow calculated by RSE Kazhydromet for the period 1.03-7.03.2024, according to NASA satellite images, decreased from 72% to 68%.
According to the synoptic forecast, in the period March 09-15, 2024, unstable weather is expected in most of the country with precipitation in the form of rain and snow, icy phenomena, fog, increased wind, in the northern and central regions with a blizzard. Heavy precipitation (rain, snow) is forecast on March 09 and 12 in the center, March 10, 12 and 13 in the east, south and southeast of the country (March 09 in Kyzylorda, 09 and at night on March 10, day 12 in Turkestan, March 09, 12-13 in Zhambyl, March 12-13 in Almaty and Zhetisu region), in the southern regions in the first half of the period mainly in the form of rain.
In the first half of this period, a positive temperature background is predicted in the south, southeast, center and east of the country.
Due to the forecast of heavy precipitation and an increase in the temperature background in the period from March 9 to 10, 2024, in the foothill and mountainous regions of the Turkestan region, Sarysu, Talas and Zhualin districts of the Zhambyl region, the formation of slope runoff and rises in river levels is expected.
On March 9-10, 2024, intense snowmelt is expected in the northern and northeastern regions of the East Kazakhstan region (Glubokovsky, Shemonaikha districts and Altai region). Given the significant amount of snow and the presence of an ice crust both in the snow cover and on the soil, the absorption of meltwater into the soil will be difficult, which will lead to the formation of surface water runoff and possible flooding.
The volume of accumulated moisture reserves in the basins of the lowland rivers of Kazakhstan was as follows:
- in Karaganda and Ulytau regions, it decreased on average from 27% to 52%.
- in Akmola and North Kazakhstan regions, it decreased on average from 12% to 63%.
- in Aktobe region, it decreased from 4% to 15%.
- in the West Kazakhstan region, it decreased on average from 28% to 67%.
- in the Kostanay region, it decreased on average from 16% to 51%.
On the mountain rivers of East Kazakhstan, Abai, Turkestan, Zhambyl and Almaty regions and the Zhetisu region, flood runoff formed on the territory of the country depends on heavy precipitation.
Snow reserves will be presented along the mountain rivers of East Kazakhstan region, Abai, Almaty, Zhambyl, Turkestan and Zhetisu regions in the first days of April 2024.
According to long-term observations at weather stations in March and April, a monthly precipitation rate may fall per day, which can lead to the occurrence of dangerous natural hydrometeorological phenomena.