The flood peaks have passed on most of the inland rivers of the region.
As of 12.00 p.m. on April 21, 2024, the water level on the Zhaiyk River at the hydrological post in Uralsk is 854 cm, with a dangerous level of 850 cm.
At 08:00 on April 21, 2024, the discharge from the Iriklinsky reservoir is 294 m3/s.
It is also necessary to take into account the inflow of the Zhaiyk River to the Sakmara River, which provides 50% of the flow of the Zhaiyk River. As of 08:00 on April 21, 2024, the water level at the Sakmara – Tatarskaya Kargala river hydropost was 877 cm (dangerous 860 cm), the water level change per day was 9 cm.
For reference:
According to the forecast of Roshydromet, flooding has already begun on the Sakmara River and water supply in the amount of 5-6 billion is expected. m3 at a maximum flow rate of 2300 m3/s. All water from the upper reaches of the Ural River of the Russian Federation, as well as the Sakmara River, will enter the territory of the West Kazakhstan region in the second half of April (after April 15). Accordingly, we expect the volume of flooding along the Zhaiyk River in the amount of 11-15 billion m3.
The critical mark at the hydrological post of R. Ural – Uralsk is 850 cm, above which there is a reverse outflow to the Shagan River, which will lead to flooding of suburban areas of the city of Uralsk. Settlements located along the Zhaiyk River in Burlinsky, Bayterek, Terektinsky, Akzhaiksky districts are also at risk.
Regarding information on the Russian Federation Orenburg. In the alignment of the hydrological post R. Ural – Orenburg, the water level at 08.00 on 04/21/2024 was 977 cm, during the day the water level decreased by 25 cm.,
Weather forecast for 21-26.04.2024
Rain is forecast in the West Kazakhstan region on the afternoon of April 23rd, 25th, and 26th.
A decrease in air temperature at night from 12-17 to 4-9 degrees Celsius, at the end of the period a slight increase to 7-12 degrees celsius, during the day a gradual decrease from 27-32 to 15-20 degrees celsius, at the end of the period an increase to 20-25 degrees celsius.